Detroit Red Wings at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2022-11-06 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 2 - 3 Detroit Red Wings (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (77% underdog)

Win Probability

NYR: 77.4%

DET: 22.6%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.85

DET: 2.92

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 50%

NYR

J. Halak

DET

A. Nedeljkovic

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	J. Halak	36	33	3	91.7%	2.94	1	-0.06
DET	A. Nedeljkovic	29	27	2	93.1%	1.98	0	-0.02

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NYR at home vs DET: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	NYR 4 - 1 DET	NYR	NYR
2025-11-16	NYR 1 - 2 DET	DET	NYR
2025-11-07	DET 1 - 4 NYR	NYR	NYR
2024-11-09	DET 0 - 4 NYR	NYR	NYR
2024-10-17	DET 2 - 5 NYR	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	17	0	0.92
1	DET	19	0	1.11
2	NYR	10	0	0.44
2	DET	12	1	1.01
3	NYR	14	0	0.62
3	DET	10	0	0.37
4	NYR	0	0	0.00
4	DET	4	0	0.46

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 77.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 2 - 3 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.8 - 2.9