Florida Panthers at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2022-11-06 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 3 - 5 Florida Panthers

Win Probability

ANA: 45.3%

FLA: 54.7%

Expected Goals

ANA: 2.31

FLA: 3.29

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 48%

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

FLA

Spencer Knight - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	John Gibson	48	43	5	89.6%	4.18	2	-0.82
FLA	Spencer Knight	35	32	3	91.4%	3.25	3	0.25

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • ANA at home vs FLA: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-04	ANA 7 - 3 FLA	ANA	FLA
2025-10-28	FLA 2 - 3 ANA	ANA	FLA
2025-01-21	ANA 2 - 5 FLA	FLA	FLA
2025-01-18	FLA 3 - 0 ANA	FLA	FLA
2024-01-15	FLA 4 - 5 ANA	ANA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	15	1	0.87
1	FLA	24	0	1.38
2	ANA	17	1	1.01
2	FLA	13	0	0.69
3	ANA	14	1	1.37
3	FLA	23	2	2.12

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 5.6

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 3 - 5 Florida Panthers

Expected: 2.3 - 3.3