Ottawa Senators at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2022-11-10 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 4 - 3 Ottawa Senators (OT)

Win Probability

NJD: 57.6%

OTT: 42.4%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.70

OTT: 3.15

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 53%

NJD

V. Vanecek

OTT

Anton Forsberg - 11-12-3 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	V. Vanecek	28	25	3	89.3%	3.51	1	0.51
OTT	Anton Forsberg	41	37	4	90.2%	4.37	3	0.37

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • NJD at home vs OTT: 3-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-12	NJD 4 - 3 OTT	NJD	NJD
2026-01-31	OTT 4 - 1 NJD	OTT	OTT
2025-12-09	OTT 3 - 4 NJD	NJD	OTT
2025-03-22	NJD 2 - 3 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-01-19	NJD 1 - 2 OTT	OTT	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	17	1	1.33
1	OTT	11	1	1.03
2	NJD	27	2	2.40
2	OTT	13	0	0.69
3	NJD	13	0	0.39
3	OTT	16	0	0.74
4	NJD	4	0	0.24
4	OTT	9	0	1.05

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 4 - 3 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 3.7 - 3.2