Philadelphia Flyers at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions
2022-11-10 • Nationwide Arena
Columbus Blue Jackets 5 - 2 Philadelphia Flyers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CBJ: 67.9%
PHI: 32.1%
Expected Goals
CBJ: 3.56
PHI: 2.83
Total Goals
Median: 6.5
Over 5.5: 63%
Over 6.5: 50%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CBJ
J. Korpisalo
PHI
C. Hart
| Stat | CBJ | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | J. Korpisalo | 34 | 32 | 2 | 94.1% | 4.65 | 7 | 2.65 |
| PHI | C. Hart | 29 | 24 | 5 | 82.8% | 3.57 | 4 | -1.43 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CBJ at home vs PHI: 5-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-24 | PHI 2 - 3 CBJ | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2026-03-14 | PHI 1 - 2 CBJ | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2026-01-28 | CBJ 5 - 3 PHI | CBJ | PHI |
| 2025-04-15 | PHI 0 - 3 CBJ | CBJ | PHI |
| 2025-01-14 | CBJ 3 - 2 PHI | CBJ | CBJ |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CBJ | 15 | 1 | 1.21 |
| 1 | PHI | 14 | 1 | 1.25 |
| 2 | CBJ | 15 | 0 | 0.83 |
| 2 | PHI | 12 | 2 | 1.07 |
| 3 | CBJ | 11 | 3 | 1.53 |
| 3 | PHI | 21 | 4 | 2.33 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 67.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Columbus Blue Jackets 5 - 2 Philadelphia Flyers
Expected: 3.6 - 2.8
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