Minnesota Wild at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions
2022-11-11 • Climate Pledge Arena
Seattle Kraken 0 - 1 Minnesota Wild
🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SEA: 50.9%
MIN: 49.1%
Expected Goals
SEA: 3.19
MIN: 3.20
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 48%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SEA
M. Jones
MIN
Marc-Andre Fleury - 14-9-1 | 0.899 SV% | 2.93 GAA
| Stat | SEA | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | 0.899 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | 2.93 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | M. Jones | 21 | 20 | 1 | 95.2% | 1.82 | 0 | 0.82 |
| MIN | Marc-Andre Fleury | 28 | 28 | 0 | 100.0% | 2.06 | 0 | 2.06 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • SEA at home vs MIN: 1-7
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | MIN 5 - 2 SEA | MIN | MIN |
| 2026-01-08 | SEA 2 - 3 MIN | MIN | MIN |
| 2025-12-08 | SEA 1 - 4 MIN | MIN | SEA |
| 2025-03-19 | MIN 4 - 0 SEA | MIN | MIN |
| 2025-03-04 | SEA 3 - 4 MIN | MIN | MIN |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SEA | 11 | 0 | 0.48 |
| 1 | MIN | 10 | 0 | 0.67 |
| 2 | SEA | 13 | 0 | 0.59 |
| 2 | MIN | 13 | 0 | 0.76 |
| 3 | SEA | 18 | 0 | 0.99 |
| 3 | MIN | 7 | 0 | 0.39 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 1.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Seattle Kraken 0 - 1 Minnesota Wild
Expected: 3.2 - 3.2
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