Edmonton Oilers at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2022-11-12 • FLA Live Arena

Florida Panthers 2 - 4 Edmonton Oilers

🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)

Win Probability

FLA: 54.9%

EDM: 45.1%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.41

EDM: 2.37

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 70%

Over 6.5: 53%

FLA

Spencer Knight - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

EDM

Stuart Skinner - 26-18-4 | 0.896 SV% | 2.81 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Spencer Knight	32	28	4	87.5%	3.46	2	-0.54
EDM	Stuart Skinner	42	40	2	95.2%	3.90	1	1.90

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 52% • FLA at home vs EDM: 7-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	EDM 0 - 4 FLA	FLA	EDM
2025-11-22	FLA 3 - 6 EDM	EDM	FLA
2025-06-17	FLA 5 - 1 EDM	FLA	FLA
2025-06-14	EDM 2 - 5 FLA	FLA	EDM
2025-06-12	FLA 4 - 5 EDM	EDM	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	24	0	1.62
1	EDM	10	1	0.95
2	FLA	13	1	1.38
2	EDM	16	0	0.90
3	FLA	15	0	0.90
3	EDM	11	1	1.60

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 2 - 4 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.4 - 2.4