Arizona Coyotes at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2022-11-12 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 4 - 2 Arizona Coyotes

Win Probability

NJD: 71.6%

ARI: 28.4%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.64

ARI: 2.62

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 49%

NJD

A. Schmid

ARI

K. Vejmelka - 12-21-0 | 0.891 SV% | 3.67 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	A. Schmid	18	16	2	88.9%	1.68	0	-0.32
ARI	K. Vejmelka	26	22	4	84.6%	3.19	3	-0.81

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NJD at home vs ARI: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-03-16	ARI 4 - 1 NJD	ARI	ARI
2023-10-13	NJD 3 - 4 ARI	ARI	ARI
2023-03-05	ARI 4 - 5 NJD	NJD	ARI
2022-11-12	NJD 4 - 2 ARI	NJD	NJD
2022-04-12	ARI 2 - 6 NJD	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	9	2	0.79
1	ARI	14	0	0.79
2	NJD	23	0	1.27
2	ARI	5	0	0.48
3	NJD	15	1	1.12
3	ARI	9	0	0.41

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 71.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 4 - 2 Arizona Coyotes

Expected: 3.6 - 2.6