Columbus Blue Jackets at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2022-11-12 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 4 - 3 Columbus Blue Jackets (OT)

Win Probability

NYI: 53.7%

CBJ: 46.3%

Expected Goals

NYI: 2.67

CBJ: 3.12

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 49%

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 12-10-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.55 GAA

CBJ

J. Korpisalo

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYI	Ilya Sorokin	29	26	3	89.7%	2.82	0	-0.18
CBJ	J. Korpisalo	46	42	4	91.3%	4.62	2	0.62

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 63% • NYI at home vs CBJ: 8-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-22	NYI 1 - 0 CBJ	NYI	NYI
2026-02-28	CBJ 3 - 4 NYI	NYI	CBJ
2025-12-28	CBJ 4 - 2 NYI	CBJ	CBJ
2025-11-02	NYI 3 - 2 CBJ	NYI	NYI
2025-04-17	CBJ 6 - 1 NYI	CBJ	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	12	0	0.70
1	CBJ	11	0	0.63
2	NYI	26	1	2.05
2	CBJ	19	0	1.56
3	NYI	21	1	1.75
3	CBJ	11	0	0.63
4	NYI	1	0	0.12
4	CBJ	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 4 - 3 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 2.7 - 3.1