New York Rangers at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions
2022-11-12 • Bridgestone Arena
Nashville Predators 2 - 1 New York Rangers
🚨 Upset Win (50% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NSH: 50.0%
NYR: 50.0%
Expected Goals
NSH: 3.01
NYR: 3.04
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 71%
Over 6.5: 49%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NSH
Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA
NYR
J. Halak
| Stat | NSH | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.897 | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.93 | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSH | Juuse Saros | 35 | 34 | 1 | 97.1% | 4.05 | 2 | 3.05 |
| NYR | J. Halak | 18 | 16 | 2 | 88.9% | 2.61 | 1 | 0.61 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • NSH at home vs NYR: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-21 | NSH 2 - 1 NYR | NSH | NSH |
| 2025-11-10 | NYR 6 - 3 NSH | NYR | NYR |
| 2025-03-02 | NYR 4 - 0 NSH | NYR | NYR |
| 2024-12-17 | NSH 2 - 0 NYR | NSH | NSH |
| 2023-12-02 | NSH 3 - 4 NYR | NYR | NSH |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NSH | 8 | 1 | 0.79 |
| 1 | NYR | 15 | 1 | 0.95 |
| 2 | NSH | 10 | 0 | 0.94 |
| 2 | NYR | 19 | 0 | 1.01 |
| 3 | NSH | 11 | 0 | 0.88 |
| 3 | NYR | 17 | 1 | 2.09 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Nashville Predators 2 - 1 New York Rangers
Expected: 3.0 - 3.0
Get NHL forecasts in your inbox
Occasional emails with NHL forecasts, analysis, and model updates.