Arizona Coyotes at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2022-11-13 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 4 - 1 Arizona Coyotes

Win Probability

NYR: 74.4%

ARI: 25.6%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.20

ARI: 2.59

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 50%

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

ARI

C. Ingram - 24-24-0 | 0.907 SV% | 3.00 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	32	31	1	96.9%	2.42	0	1.42
ARI	C. Ingram	27	23	4	85.2%	2.63	3	-1.37

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NYR at home vs ARI: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-03-30	ARI 5 - 8 NYR	NYR	ARI
2023-10-16	NYR 2 - 1 ARI	NYR	NYR
2022-11-13	NYR 4 - 1 ARI	NYR	NYR
2022-10-30	ARI 2 - 3 NYR	NYR	NYR
2022-01-22	NYR 7 - 3 ARI	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	6	0	0.29
1	ARI	19	0	0.89
2	NYR	15	2	1.40
2	ARI	14	0	1.03
3	NYR	9	1	0.94
3	ARI	7	0	0.50

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 74.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 4 - 1 Arizona Coyotes

Expected: 3.2 - 2.6