San Jose Sharks at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2022-11-13 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 2 - 3 San Jose Sharks (SO)

Win Probability

MIN: 47.1%

SJS: 52.9%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.05

SJS: 3.23

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 43%

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA

SJS

J. Reimer

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Filip Gustavsson	41	37	4	90.2%	4.92	3	0.92
SJS	J. Reimer	33	30	3	90.9%	3.86	2	0.86

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • MIN at home vs SJS: 4-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-31	SJS 4 - 3 MIN	SJS	MIN
2025-11-11	MIN 1 - 2 SJS	SJS	MIN
2025-10-26	MIN 5 - 6 SJS	SJS	SJS
2025-04-09	MIN 8 - 7 SJS	MIN	MIN
2025-01-11	SJS 1 - 3 MIN	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	16	0	1.06
1	SJS	11	0	0.62
2	MIN	17	0	0.89
2	SJS	15	1	0.89
3	MIN	13	1	0.66
3	SJS	23	0	1.38
4	MIN	3	0	0.20
4	SJS	5	0	0.22
5	MIN	4	1	1.05
5	SJS	4	2	1.81

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 2 - 3 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.0 - 3.2