Winnipeg Jets at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2022-11-13 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 2 - 3 Winnipeg Jets (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)

Win Probability

SEA: 58.4%

WPG: 41.6%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.20

WPG: 3.33

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 49%

SEA

M. Jones

WPG

D. Rittich

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	M. Jones	30	27	3	90.0%	4.21	2	1.21
WPG	D. Rittich	21	19	2	90.5%	2.42	1	0.42

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • SEA at home vs WPG: 2-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-06	WPG 6 - 2 SEA	WPG	WPG
2025-11-13	SEA 5 - 3 WPG	SEA	SEA
2025-10-23	WPG 0 - 3 SEA	SEA	WPG
2025-03-16	SEA 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	WPG
2025-01-16	WPG 2 - 1 SEA	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	14	0	0.82
1	WPG	11	0	0.85
2	SEA	11	0	0.74
2	WPG	22	2	1.89
3	SEA	10	1	0.86
3	WPG	19	0	1.28
4	SEA	0	0	0.00
4	WPG	1	0	0.19

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 58.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 2 - 3 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.2 - 3.3