Carolina Hurricanes at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2022-11-14 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 0 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

CHI: 32.9%

CAR: 67.1%

Expected Goals

CHI: 2.06

CAR: 3.27

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 42%

CHI

Petr Mrazek - 18-31-4 | 0.907 SV% | 3.05 GAA

CAR

Pyotr Kochetkov - 6-2-0 | 0.899 SV% | 2.33 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	Petr Mrazek	32	29	3	90.6%	1.79	0	-1.21
CAR	Pyotr Kochetkov	27	27	0	100.0%	2.83	3	2.83

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 90% • CHI at home vs CAR: 0-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	CHI 2 - 7 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-01-22	CAR 3 - 4 CHI	CHI	CAR
2025-01-30	CAR 3 - 2 CHI	CAR	CAR
2025-01-20	CHI 3 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2024-04-14	CHI 2 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	10	1	1.12
1	CAR	16	0	0.81
2	CHI	12	2	0.90
2	CAR	13	0	0.59
3	CHI	10	0	0.81
3	CAR	15	0	0.39

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 67.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.3

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 0 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.1 - 3.3