Los Angeles Kings at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2022-11-14 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 6 - 5 Los Angeles Kings

Win Probability

CGY: 52.1%

LAK: 47.9%

Expected Goals

CGY: 2.99

LAK: 3.02

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 72%

Over 6.5: 54%

CGY

J. Markstrom

LAK

J. Quick

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CGY	J. Markstrom	29	24	5	82.8%	2.42	2	-2.58
LAK	J. Quick	30	24	6	80.0%	3.47	2	-2.53

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • CGY at home vs LAK: 8-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-16	CGY 3 - 1 LAK	CGY	CGY
2026-03-24	CGY 3 - 2 LAK	CGY	LAK
2026-02-28	LAK 2 - 0 CGY	LAK	LAK
2025-12-13	LAK 1 - 2 CGY	CGY	LAK
2025-04-17	LAK 1 - 5 CGY	CGY	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	11	0	0.73
1	LAK	16	1	0.90
2	CGY	20	2	2.16
2	LAK	8	1	0.64
3	CGY	8	0	0.58
3	LAK	16	0	0.88

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 6 - 5 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.0 - 3.0