New Jersey Devils at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2022-11-15 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens 1 - 5 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

MTL: 33.5%

NJD: 66.5%

Expected Goals

MTL: 2.30

NJD: 2.86

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 44%

MTL

J. Allen

NJD

V. Vanecek

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MTL	J. Allen	39	34	5	87.2%	4.96	4	-0.04
NJD	V. Vanecek	26	25	1	96.2%	2.68	1	1.68

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • MTL at home vs NJD: 0-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-05	MTL 0 - 3 NJD	NJD	NJD
2026-04-04	NJD 3 - 4 MTL	MTL	NJD
2025-11-06	NJD 4 - 3 MTL	NJD	NJD
2025-02-08	MTL 0 - 4 NJD	NJD	NJD
2025-01-25	MTL 3 - 4 NJD	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MTL	17	0	1.32
1	NJD	11	0	0.86
2	MTL	8	1	0.85
2	NJD	25	0	1.56
3	MTL	10	0	0.51
3	NJD	12	4	2.54

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 66.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 5.2

Score Breakdown

Montreal Canadiens 1 - 5 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 2.3 - 2.9