Washington Capitals at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2022-11-15 • FLA Live Arena

Florida Panthers 5 - 2 Washington Capitals

Win Probability

FLA: 62.7%

WSH: 37.3%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.55

WSH: 2.35

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 48%

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

WSH

D. Kuemper

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	43	41	2	95.3%	3.64	2	1.64
WSH	D. Kuemper	43	38	5	88.4%	4.41	4	-0.59

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 76% • FLA at home vs WSH: 9-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-17	WSH 2 - 5 FLA	FLA	WSH
2025-12-29	FLA 5 - 3 WSH	FLA	FLA
2025-11-13	FLA 6 - 3 WSH	FLA	FLA
2025-03-22	WSH 6 - 3 FLA	WSH	WSH
2025-02-04	WSH 6 - 3 FLA	WSH	WSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	24	1	1.80
1	WSH	13	0	0.79
2	FLA	14	1	0.82
2	WSH	15	0	0.73
3	FLA	11	2	1.80
3	WSH	33	2	2.12

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 5 - 2 Washington Capitals

Expected: 3.5 - 2.3