Los Angeles Kings at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2022-11-16 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 1 - 3 Los Angeles Kings

Win Probability

EDM: 47.2%

LAK: 52.8%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.09

LAK: 3.32

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 48%

EDM

Stuart Skinner - 26-18-4 | 0.896 SV% | 2.81 GAA

LAK

C. Petersen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	Stuart Skinner	32	29	3	90.6%	2.95	2	-0.05
LAK	C. Petersen	23	22	1	95.7%	2.10	0	1.10

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • EDM at home vs LAK: 14-8

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	LAK 1 - 0 EDM	LAK	EDM
2026-02-26	LAK 1 - 8 EDM	EDM	LAK
2026-01-10	EDM 3 - 4 LAK	LAK	EDM
2025-05-01	EDM 6 - 4 LAK	EDM	EDM
2025-04-29	LAK 1 - 3 EDM	EDM	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	10	0	0.46
1	LAK	15	0	0.70
2	EDM	10	0	0.65
2	LAK	15	0	0.73
3	EDM	12	0	0.99
3	LAK	9	2	1.52

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 1 - 3 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.1 - 3.3