Montreal Canadiens at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2022-11-17 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 6 - 4 Montreal Canadiens

🚨 Upset Win (55% underdog)

Win Probability

CBJ: 45.5%

MTL: 54.5%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 2.89

MTL: 3.19

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 51%

CBJ

J. Korpisalo

MTL

Samuel Montembeault - 6-6-1 | 0.863 SV% | 3.52 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	J. Korpisalo	42	38	4	90.5%	3.68	2	-0.32
MTL	Samuel Montembeault	29	23	6	79.3%	4.98	4	-1.02

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • CBJ at home vs MTL: 4-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	MTL 2 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2026-03-26	MTL 2 - 1 CBJ	MTL	CBJ
2025-11-17	CBJ 4 - 3 MTL	CBJ	MTL
2024-12-23	CBJ 5 - 4 MTL	CBJ	MTL
2024-11-27	CBJ 3 - 4 MTL	MTL	CBJ

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	18	1	1.28
1	MTL	14	1	0.85
2	CBJ	11	0	0.91
2	MTL	17	0	0.85
3	CBJ	13	3	2.79
3	MTL	23	1	1.98

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 6 - 4 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 2.9 - 3.2