Detroit Red Wings at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2022-11-17 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 4 - 7 Detroit Red Wings

🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)

Win Probability

SJS: 53.3%

DET: 46.7%

Expected Goals

SJS: 3.18

DET: 3.03

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 48%

SJS

J. Reimer

DET

Ville Husso - 9-5-2 | 0.892 SV% | 3.55 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	J. Reimer	21	14	7	66.7%	3.01	2	-3.99
DET	Ville Husso	25	21	4	84.0%	2.95	0	-1.05

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • SJS at home vs DET: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-16	DET 4 - 2 SJS	DET	DET
2025-11-02	SJS 2 - 3 DET	DET	DET
2025-01-14	DET 3 - 6 SJS	SJS	DET
2024-11-18	SJS 5 - 4 DET	SJS	DET
2024-01-02	SJS 3 - 5 DET	DET	DET

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	15	0	0.93
1	DET	6	0	0.40
2	SJS	15	0	0.87
2	DET	15	0	0.57
3	SJS	12	0	1.14
3	DET	11	2	2.04

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 4 - 7 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0