Colorado Avalanche at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2022-11-19 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 0 - 4 Colorado Avalanche

Win Probability

WSH: 49.1%

COL: 50.9%

Expected Goals

WSH: 3.16

COL: 3.23

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 49%

WSH

D. Kuemper

COL

Alexandar Georgiev - 38-18-5 | 0.897 SV% | 3.02 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WSH	D. Kuemper	29	25	4	86.2%	3.37	0	-0.63
COL	Alexandar Georgiev	32	32	0	100.0%	2.20	1	2.20

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • WSH at home vs COL: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-22	WSH 2 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2026-01-19	COL 5 - 2 WSH	COL	COL
2024-11-21	WSH 1 - 2 COL	COL	COL
2024-11-15	COL 2 - 5 WSH	WSH	COL
2024-02-13	WSH 3 - 6 COL	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WSH	17	1	0.91
1	COL	16	0	1.07
2	WSH	12	0	0.71
2	COL	14	0	1.07
3	WSH	12	0	0.58
3	COL	18	0	1.24

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 0 - 4 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 3.2 - 3.2