Detroit Red Wings at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions
2022-11-19 • Nationwide Arena
Columbus Blue Jackets 1 - 6 Detroit Red Wings
🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CBJ: 51.1%
DET: 48.9%
Expected Goals
CBJ: 3.19
DET: 3.13
Total Goals
Median: 6.6
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 50%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CBJ
J. Korpisalo
DET
Ville Husso - 9-5-2 | 0.892 SV% | 3.55 GAA
| Stat | CBJ | DET |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | 0.892 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | 3.55 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | J. Korpisalo | 37 | 31 | 6 | 83.8% | 3.91 | 4 | -2.09 |
| DET | Ville Husso | 28 | 27 | 1 | 96.4% | 2.75 | 2 | 1.75 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • CBJ at home vs DET: 3-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | DET 3 - 4 CBJ | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2025-12-04 | CBJ 6 - 5 DET | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2025-11-22 | DET 4 - 3 CBJ | DET | DET |
| 2025-03-01 | CBJ 5 - 3 DET | CBJ | DET |
| 2025-02-27 | DET 2 - 5 CBJ | CBJ | DET |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CBJ | 19 | 0 | 0.99 |
| 1 | DET | 17 | 3 | 1.69 |
| 2 | CBJ | 13 | 1 | 1.03 |
| 2 | DET | 16 | 1 | 1.10 |
| 3 | CBJ | 10 | 1 | 0.73 |
| 3 | DET | 13 | 0 | 1.12 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Columbus Blue Jackets 1 - 6 Detroit Red Wings
Expected: 3.2 - 3.1
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