New York Rangers at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2022-11-19 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 1 - 2 New York Rangers

Win Probability

SJS: 47.4%

NYR: 52.6%

Expected Goals

SJS: 3.17

NYR: 3.03

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 47%

SJS

J. Reimer

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	J. Reimer	43	41	2	95.3%	3.99	1	1.99
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	23	22	1	95.7%	2.28	0	1.28

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • SJS at home vs NYR: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-23	SJS 3 - 1 NYR	SJS	SJS
2025-10-23	NYR 5 - 6 SJS	SJS	NYR
2025-03-29	SJS 1 - 6 NYR	NYR	SJS
2024-11-14	NYR 3 - 2 SJS	NYR	NYR
2024-01-23	SJS 3 - 2 NYR	SJS	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	13	0	0.45
1	NYR	17	0	0.97
2	SJS	15	0	1.24
2	NYR	23	0	1.58
3	SJS	8	0	0.59
3	NYR	18	1	1.44

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 1 - 2 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0