Anaheim Ducks at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2022-11-21 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 3 - 1 Anaheim Ducks

Win Probability

STL: 57.0%

ANA: 43.0%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.18

ANA: 2.99

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 72%

Over 6.5: 54%

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Jordan Binnington	28	27	1	96.4%	3.48	4	2.48
ANA	John Gibson	27	24	3	88.9%	3.41	1	0.41

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • STL at home vs ANA: 5-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-03	ANA 2 - 6 STL	STL	ANA
2026-03-08	ANA 0 - 4 STL	STL	ANA
2025-12-01	STL 1 - 4 ANA	ANA	STL
2025-03-16	STL 7 - 2 ANA	STL	STL
2025-03-07	ANA 3 - 4 STL	STL	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	10	0	0.69
1	ANA	16	0	1.12
2	STL	16	0	1.34
2	ANA	8	2	0.95
3	STL	10	1	1.38
3	ANA	12	2	1.42

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 3 - 1 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0