New York Rangers at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2022-11-22 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 3 - 5 New York Rangers

🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)

Win Probability

LAK: 57.6%

NYR: 42.4%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.32

NYR: 2.71

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 49%

LAK

C. Petersen

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	C. Petersen	25	20	5	80.0%	3.33	3	-1.67
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	38	35	3	92.1%	2.53	1	-0.47

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • LAK at home vs NYR: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-16	NYR 1 - 4 LAK	LAK	LAK
2026-01-20	LAK 4 - 3 NYR	LAK	LAK
2025-03-25	LAK 3 - 1 NYR	LAK	LAK
2024-12-14	NYR 1 - 5 LAK	LAK	LAK
2024-01-20	LAK 2 - 1 NYR	LAK	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	16	0	0.95
1	NYR	10	0	0.39
2	LAK	11	1	0.79
2	NYR	13	1	1.39
3	LAK	16	0	0.79
3	NYR	9	2	1.55

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 3 - 5 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.3 - 2.7