Arizona Coyotes at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2022-11-23 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 0 - 4 Arizona Coyotes

🚨 Upset Loss (75% underdog)

Win Probability

CAR: 74.6%

ARI: 25.4%

Expected Goals

CAR: 4.08

ARI: 2.48

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

CAR

Pyotr Kochetkov - 6-2-0 | 0.899 SV% | 2.33 GAA

ARI

K. Vejmelka - 12-21-0 | 0.891 SV% | 3.67 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Pyotr Kochetkov	27	23	4	85.2%	3.23	2	-0.77
ARI	K. Vejmelka	36	36	0	100.0%	4.03	1	4.03

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • CAR at home vs ARI: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-02-16	ARI 1 - 5 CAR	CAR	CAR
2024-01-27	CAR 3 - 1 ARI	CAR	CAR
2023-03-03	ARI 1 - 6 CAR	CAR	CAR
2022-11-23	CAR 0 - 4 ARI	ARI	CAR
2022-04-18	ARI 3 - 5 CAR	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	22	1	1.81
1	ARI	2	0	0.08
2	CAR	13	0	0.89
2	ARI	16	0	0.95
3	CAR	19	0	1.33
3	ARI	14	2	2.20

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 74.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 0 - 4 Arizona Coyotes

Expected: 4.1 - 2.5