Boston Bruins at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2022-11-23 • FLA Live Arena

Florida Panthers 5 - 2 Boston Bruins

Win Probability

FLA: 66.1%

BOS: 33.9%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.31

BOS: 3.16

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 48%

FLA

Spencer Knight - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Spencer Knight	39	37	2	94.9%	3.51	2	1.51
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	31	26	5	83.9%	3.50	2	-1.50

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • FLA at home vs BOS: 8-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	FLA 2 - 1 BOS	FLA	FLA
2026-02-04	FLA 5 - 4 BOS	FLA	FLA
2025-10-21	BOS 3 - 4 FLA	FLA	FLA
2025-03-11	BOS 3 - 2 FLA	BOS	BOS
2025-01-11	FLA 3 - 4 BOS	BOS	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	11	0	0.56
1	BOS	21	2	1.92
2	FLA	23	1	2.07
2	BOS	12	0	0.56
3	FLA	8	1	0.87
3	BOS	14	0	1.02

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 66.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 5 - 2 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.3 - 3.2