Montreal Canadiens at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2022-11-23 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 1 - 3 Montreal Canadiens

🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)

Win Probability

CBJ: 59.4%

MTL: 40.6%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.22

MTL: 3.10

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 49%

CBJ

J. Korpisalo

MTL

Samuel Montembeault - 6-6-1 | 0.863 SV% | 3.52 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	J. Korpisalo	29	26	3	89.7%	2.30	1	-0.70
MTL	Samuel Montembeault	31	30	1	96.8%	3.02	4	2.02

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • CBJ at home vs MTL: 4-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	MTL 2 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2026-03-26	MTL 2 - 1 CBJ	MTL	CBJ
2025-11-17	CBJ 4 - 3 MTL	CBJ	MTL
2024-12-23	CBJ 5 - 4 MTL	CBJ	MTL
2024-11-27	CBJ 3 - 4 MTL	MTL	CBJ

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	11	0	0.46
1	MTL	8	0	0.20
2	CBJ	13	4	1.47
2	MTL	14	0	0.74
3	CBJ	17	0	1.09
3	MTL	14	1	1.35

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 59.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 1 - 3 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1