Colorado Avalanche at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2023-04-14 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 3 - 4 Colorado Avalanche

Win Probability

NSH: 38.9%

COL: 61.1%

Expected Goals

NSH: 2.62

COL: 3.51

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 48%

NSH

K. Lankinen

COL

Alexandar Georgiev - 38-18-5 | 0.897 SV% | 3.02 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	K. Lankinen	34	30	4	88.2%	3.40	2	-0.60
COL	Alexandar Georgiev	21	18	3	85.7%	1.66	0	-1.34

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 52% • NSH at home vs COL: 7-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-16	COL 3 - 7 NSH	NSH	COL
2025-12-13	COL 4 - 2 NSH	COL	COL
2025-12-09	NSH 4 - 3 COL	NSH	COL
2025-11-22	NSH 0 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2025-02-22	NSH 2 - 1 COL	NSH	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	5	0	0.08
1	COL	23	1	1.63
2	NSH	9	0	0.78
2	COL	7	0	0.21
3	NSH	13	0	0.80
3	COL	18	1	1.56

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 3 - 4 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 2.6 - 3.5