Arizona Coyotes at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2022-11-25 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 4 - 3 Arizona Coyotes (SO)

Win Probability

DET: 60.9%

ARI: 39.1%

Expected Goals

DET: 3.54

ARI: 3.00

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 42%

DET

Ville Husso - 9-5-2 | 0.892 SV% | 3.55 GAA

ARI

K. Vejmelka - 12-21-0 | 0.891 SV% | 3.67 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DET	Ville Husso	26	23	3	88.5%	2.63	0	-0.37
ARI	K. Vejmelka	39	35	4	89.7%	5.35	2	1.35

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • DET at home vs ARI: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-03-14	DET 1 - 4 ARI	ARI	ARI
2024-03-08	ARI 4 - 0 DET	ARI	ARI
2023-01-17	ARI 4 - 3 DET	ARI	ARI
2022-11-25	DET 4 - 3 ARI	DET	DET
2022-03-08	DET 2 - 9 ARI	ARI	DET

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	18	1	1.58
1	ARI	16	0	0.95
2	DET	21	0	1.34
2	ARI	10	0	0.44
3	DET	12	0	1.02
3	ARI	11	0	0.77
4	DET	5	0	0.35
4	ARI	3	0	0.27
5	DET	3	1	1.06
5	ARI	3	0	0.21

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 4 - 3 Arizona Coyotes

Expected: 3.5 - 3.0