Los Angeles Kings at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions
2022-11-25 • SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose Sharks 2 - 5 Los Angeles Kings
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SJS: 41.9%
LAK: 58.1%
Expected Goals
SJS: 2.76
LAK: 3.33
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SJS
J. Reimer
LAK
J. Quick
| Stat | SJS | LAK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | J. Reimer | 29 | 24 | 5 | 82.8% | 2.91 | 1 | -2.09 |
| LAK | J. Quick | 31 | 29 | 2 | 93.5% | 3.20 | 2 | 1.20 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 61% • SJS at home vs LAK: 5-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-07 | LAK 3 - 4 SJS | SJS | LAK |
| 2025-11-20 | SJS 4 - 3 LAK | SJS | SJS |
| 2025-10-28 | SJS 3 - 4 LAK | LAK | LAK |
| 2025-03-30 | LAK 8 - 1 SJS | LAK | LAK |
| 2024-11-25 | SJS 7 - 2 LAK | SJS | LAK |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SJS | 10 | 1 | 0.99 |
| 1 | LAK | 16 | 0 | 0.97 |
| 2 | SJS | 15 | 0 | 0.63 |
| 2 | LAK | 12 | 0 | 0.60 |
| 3 | SJS | 22 | 1 | 1.58 |
| 3 | LAK | 12 | 1 | 1.34 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 58.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
San Jose Sharks 2 - 5 Los Angeles Kings
Expected: 2.8 - 3.3
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