Washington Capitals at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2022-11-26 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 5 - 1 Washington Capitals

Win Probability

NJD: 71.8%

WSH: 28.2%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.58

WSH: 2.55

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 49%

NJD

V. Vanecek

WSH

Charlie Lindgren - 6-4-2 | 0.887 SV% | 3.07 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	V. Vanecek	38	37	1	97.4%	3.87	2	2.87
WSH	Charlie Lindgren	29	24	5	82.8%	2.41	2	-2.59

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 26% • NJD at home vs WSH: 2-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	NJD 7 - 3 WSH	NJD	NJD
2026-03-20	WSH 2 - 1 NJD	WSH	NJD
2025-12-27	NJD 3 - 4 WSH	WSH	NJD
2025-11-15	WSH 2 - 3 NJD	NJD	WSH
2024-11-30	NJD 5 - 6 WSH	WSH	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	9	1	1.02
1	WSH	17	1	1.50
2	NJD	15	0	0.63
2	WSH	17	0	1.02
3	NJD	10	1	0.76
3	WSH	21	1	1.35

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 71.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 5 - 1 Washington Capitals

Expected: 3.6 - 2.5