Arizona Coyotes at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2022-11-27 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 4 - 3 Arizona Coyotes

Win Probability

MIN: 72.3%

ARI: 27.7%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.53

ARI: 2.14

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 51%

Over 6.5: 35%

MIN

Marc-Andre Fleury - 14-9-1 | 0.899 SV% | 2.93 GAA

ARI

C. Ingram - 24-24-0 | 0.907 SV% | 3.00 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Marc-Andre Fleury	23	20	3	87.0%	1.64	1	-1.36
ARI	C. Ingram	29	25	4	86.2%	2.91	5	-1.09

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • MIN at home vs ARI: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-03-12	MIN 4 - 1 ARI	MIN	MIN
2024-03-07	ARI 2 - 5 MIN	MIN	MIN
2024-02-14	ARI 1 - 3 MIN	MIN	ARI
2024-01-13	MIN 0 - 6 ARI	ARI	MIN
2023-03-12	ARI 5 - 4 MIN	ARI	ARI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	12	2	0.84
1	ARI	7	0	0.43
2	MIN	11	2	1.16
2	ARI	12	0	0.49
3	MIN	15	1	0.91
3	ARI	13	1	0.73

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 72.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 4 - 3 Arizona Coyotes

Expected: 3.5 - 2.1