Vancouver Canucks at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2022-11-27 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 3 - 4 Vancouver Canucks (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (73% underdog)

Win Probability

SJS: 73.4%

VAN: 26.6%

Expected Goals

SJS: 3.57

VAN: 2.76

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

SJS

K. Kahkonen

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	K. Kahkonen	20	16	4	80.0%	2.57	0	-1.43
VAN	Thatcher Demko	35	32	3	91.4%	2.44	0	-0.56

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • SJS at home vs VAN: 2-8

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	SJS 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	SJS
2026-01-27	VAN 2 - 5 SJS	SJS	VAN
2025-12-27	VAN 3 - 6 SJS	SJS	VAN
2025-11-28	SJS 3 - 2 VAN	SJS	VAN
2025-04-14	VAN 2 - 1 SJS	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	SJS	14	0.60
1	VAN	16	0.86
2	SJS	10	0.70
2	VAN	12	0.78
3	SJS	23	1.14
3	VAN	10	0.78
4	SJS	0	0.00
4	VAN	1	0.16

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 73.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 3 - 4 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.6 - 2.8