New Jersey Devils at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2022-11-28 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 3 - 5 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

NYR: 43.8%

NJD: 56.2%

Expected Goals

NYR: 2.89

NJD: 3.28

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 47%

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

NJD

V. Vanecek

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	38	33	5	86.8%	4.61	3	-0.39
NJD	V. Vanecek	38	35	3	92.1%	3.81	1	0.81

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • NYR at home vs NJD: 8-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-31	NYR 4 - 1 NJD	NYR	NYR
2026-03-18	NYR 3 - 6 NJD	NJD	NJD
2026-03-07	NJD 6 - 3 NYR	NJD	NJD
2025-04-05	NJD 4 - 0 NYR	NJD	NJD
2025-01-09	NYR 3 - 2 NJD	NYR	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	15	0	1.07
1	NJD	18	0	0.79
2	NYR	14	1	0.98
2	NJD	24	0	1.47
3	NYR	26	0	1.77
3	NJD	9	3	2.34

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 3 - 5 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 2.9 - 3.3