Dallas Stars at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2022-11-28 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 1 - 4 Dallas Stars

🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)

Win Probability

STL: 57.0%

DAL: 43.0%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.14

DAL: 2.98

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 50%

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

DAL

S. Wedgewood

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Jordan Binnington	24	20	4	83.3%	2.82	2	-1.18
DAL	S. Wedgewood	24	23	1	95.8%	2.50	1	1.50

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • STL at home vs DAL: 5-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-04	DAL 5 - 4 STL	DAL	DAL
2026-01-27	STL 3 - 4 DAL	DAL	STL
2026-01-23	DAL 3 - 2 STL	DAL	DAL
2025-10-18	STL 3 - 1 DAL	STL	STL
2025-03-02	DAL 6 - 3 STL	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	14	0	0.74
1	DAL	13	1	0.68
2	STL	14	1	1.48
2	DAL	13	0	1.00
3	STL	8	0	0.28
3	DAL	10	1	1.13

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 1 - 4 Dallas Stars

Expected: 3.1 - 3.0