Florida Panthers at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2022-11-28 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 4 - 3 Florida Panthers (OT)

Win Probability

EDM: 56.4%

FLA: 43.6%

Expected Goals

EDM: 2.99

FLA: 3.14

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 50%

EDM

Stuart Skinner - 26-18-4 | 0.896 SV% | 2.81 GAA

FLA

Spencer Knight - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	Stuart Skinner	28	25	3	89.3%	2.95	2	-0.05
FLA	Spencer Knight	40	36	4	90.0%	4.30	0	0.30

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 52% • EDM at home vs FLA: 4-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	EDM 0 - 4 FLA	FLA	EDM
2025-11-22	FLA 3 - 6 EDM	EDM	FLA
2025-06-17	FLA 5 - 1 EDM	FLA	FLA
2025-06-14	EDM 2 - 5 FLA	FLA	EDM
2025-06-12	FLA 4 - 5 EDM	EDM	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	20	0	1.29
1	FLA	16	1	1.42
2	EDM	13	0	0.97
2	FLA	13	1	0.91
3	EDM	19	0	1.92
3	FLA	12	0	0.63
4	EDM	1	0	0.13
4	FLA	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 4 - 3 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.0 - 3.1