Edmonton Oilers at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2022-12-01 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 5 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

MIN: 62.1%

EDM: 37.9%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.41

EDM: 2.94

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 45%

MIN

Marc-Andre Fleury - 14-9-1 | 0.899 SV% | 2.93 GAA

EDM

Jack Campbell - 1-4-0 | 0.873 SV% | 4.50 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Marc-Andre Fleury	21	18	3	85.7%	2.04	0	-0.96
EDM	Jack Campbell	30	25	5	83.3%	3.13	3	-1.87

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • MIN at home vs EDM: 5-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-31	EDM 3 - 7 MIN	MIN	EDM
2025-12-20	MIN 5 - 2 EDM	MIN	EDM
2025-12-02	EDM 0 - 1 MIN	MIN	EDM
2025-01-15	MIN 3 - 5 EDM	EDM	EDM
2024-12-12	MIN 1 - 7 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	10	1	0.65
1	EDM	6	0	0.48
2	MIN	17	1	1.54
2	EDM	10	0	0.97
3	MIN	14	1	0.94
3	EDM	15	0	0.59

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 5 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.4 - 2.9