Ottawa Senators at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2022-12-02 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 2 - 3 Ottawa Senators (OT)

Win Probability

NYR: 49.9%

OTT: 50.1%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.10

OTT: 3.07

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 50%

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

OTT

C. Talbot

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	37	34	3	91.9%	3.92	3	0.92
OTT	C. Talbot	27	25	2	92.6%	2.84	2	0.84

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • NYR at home vs OTT: 4-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-23	NYR 1 - 2 OTT	OTT	OTT
2026-01-14	NYR 4 - 8 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-12-04	OTT 2 - 4 NYR	NYR	OTT
2025-03-08	OTT 4 - 3 NYR	OTT	OTT
2025-01-21	NYR 5 - 0 OTT	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	10	0	0.58
1	OTT	17	1	1.58
2	NYR	10	0	0.64
2	OTT	14	2	1.20
3	NYR	18	1	1.22
3	OTT	15	0	0.76
4	NYR	3	1	0.40
4	OTT	3	0	0.38

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 2 - 3 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1