New Jersey Devils at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2022-12-03 • Wells Fargo Center

Philadelphia Flyers 2 - 3 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

PHI: 33.2%

NJD: 66.8%

Expected Goals

PHI: 2.07

NJD: 3.57

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 49%

PHI

C. Hart

NJD

A. Schmid

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
PHI	C. Hart	18	15	3	83.3%	1.31	1	-1.69
NJD	A. Schmid	33	31	2	93.9%	2.23	1	0.23

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • PHI at home vs NJD: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	NJD 1 - 5 PHI	PHI	PHI
2025-11-29	NJD 3 - 5 PHI	PHI	NJD
2025-11-22	PHI 6 - 3 NJD	PHI	PHI
2025-03-09	PHI 1 - 3 NJD	NJD	PHI
2025-01-29	NJD 5 - 0 PHI	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	16	0	0.54
1	NJD	6	0	0.26
2	PHI	17	1	1.02
2	NJD	13	1	0.56
3	PHI	14	0	0.68
3	NJD	10	0	0.49

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 66.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.6

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 2 - 3 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 2.1 - 3.6