Carolina Hurricanes at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions
2022-12-03 • Crypto.com Arena
Los Angeles Kings 2 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes
🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
LAK: 52.0%
CAR: 48.0%
Expected Goals
LAK: 3.00
CAR: 2.98
Total Goals
Median: 6.5
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 46%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
LAK
J. Quick
CAR
Pyotr Kochetkov - 6-2-0 | 0.899 SV% | 2.33 GAA
| Stat | LAK | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | 0.899 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | J. Quick | 31 | 27 | 4 | 87.1% | 3.30 | 1 | -0.70 |
| CAR | Pyotr Kochetkov | 33 | 31 | 2 | 93.9% | 3.60 | 0 | 1.60 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • LAK at home vs CAR: 1-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-01 | CAR 3 - 2 LAK | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-10-18 | LAK 3 - 4 CAR | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-03-22 | LAK 7 - 2 CAR | LAK | LAK |
| 2025-02-01 | CAR 2 - 4 LAK | LAK | CAR |
| 2024-01-15 | CAR 2 - 5 LAK | LAK | CAR |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LAK | 6 | 0 | 0.56 |
| 1 | CAR | 16 | 0 | 0.74 |
| 2 | LAK | 17 | 0 | 1.21 |
| 2 | CAR | 24 | 1 | 1.60 |
| 3 | LAK | 22 | 0 | 1.84 |
| 3 | CAR | 10 | 0 | 0.96 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 52.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Los Angeles Kings 2 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes
Expected: 3.0 - 3.0
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