Anaheim Ducks at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2022-12-04 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 5 - 2 Anaheim Ducks

Win Probability

WPG: 73.8%

ANA: 26.2%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.52

ANA: 2.74

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 52%

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

ANA

A. Stolarz

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	30	28	2	93.3%	2.91	2	0.91
ANA	A. Stolarz	40	35	5	87.5%	4.52	2	-0.48

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • WPG at home vs ANA: 5-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-10	WPG 1 - 4 ANA	ANA	WPG
2026-02-27	ANA 5 - 4 WPG	ANA	ANA
2025-11-09	ANA 4 - 1 WPG	ANA	ANA
2025-04-16	WPG 2 - 1 ANA	WPG	WPG
2025-01-02	WPG 3 - 4 ANA	ANA	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	13	1	1.09
1	ANA	24	2	1.91
2	WPG	23	1	2.04
2	ANA	7	0	0.45
3	WPG	24	0	1.39
3	ANA	10	0	0.55

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 73.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 5 - 2 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.5 - 2.7