St. Louis Blues at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2022-12-05 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 6 - 4 St. Louis Blues

Win Probability

NYR: 54.3%

STL: 45.7%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.89

STL: 3.13

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 53%

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	29	25	4	86.2%	3.94	2	-0.06
STL	Jordan Binnington	24	18	6	75.0%	2.22	0	-3.78

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • NYR at home vs STL: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-18	STL 1 - 2 NYR	NYR	NYR
2025-11-24	NYR 3 - 2 STL	NYR	STL
2024-12-15	STL 3 - 2 NYR	STL	STL
2024-11-25	NYR 2 - 5 STL	STL	NYR
2024-03-09	NYR 4 - 0 STL	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	6	0	0.47
1	STL	15	0	1.46
2	NYR	8	0	0.57
2	STL	17	2	2.01
3	NYR	15	0	1.18
3	STL	9	0	0.47

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 7.0

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 6 - 4 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.9 - 3.1