Carolina Hurricanes at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2022-12-06 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 4 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes (OT)

🚨 Upset Win (60% underdog)

Win Probability

ANA: 39.5%

CAR: 60.5%

Expected Goals

ANA: 2.20

CAR: 3.10

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 44%

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

CAR

Pyotr Kochetkov - 6-2-0 | 0.899 SV% | 2.33 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	John Gibson	37	34	3	91.9%	3.72	1	0.72
CAR	Pyotr Kochetkov	30	26	4	86.7%	2.10	0	-1.90

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • ANA at home vs CAR: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-08	CAR 5 - 2 ANA	CAR	CAR
2025-10-16	ANA 1 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-03-23	ANA 2 - 5 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-01-12	CAR 2 - 3 ANA	ANA	CAR
2024-01-11	CAR 6 - 3 ANA	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	9	0	0.71
1	CAR	14	1	1.45
2	ANA	13	0	0.59
2	CAR	24	0	1.54
3	ANA	12	0	0.63
3	CAR	16	0	0.73
4	ANA	1	0	0.17
4	CAR	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 60.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.3

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 4 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.2 - 3.1