Montreal Canadiens at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2022-12-06 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 2 - 4 Montreal Canadiens

🚨 Upset Loss (67% underdog)

Win Probability

SEA: 67.2%

MTL: 32.8%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.27

MTL: 3.00

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 44%

SEA

M. Jones

MTL

J. Allen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	M. Jones	16	12	4	75.0%	1.74	1	-2.26
MTL	J. Allen	33	31	2	93.9%	3.50	4	1.50

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • SEA at home vs MTL: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-10-28	SEA 3 - 4 MTL	MTL	MTL
2025-10-14	MTL 5 - 4 SEA	MTL	MTL
2025-03-12	SEA 5 - 4 MTL	SEA	SEA
2024-10-29	MTL 2 - 8 SEA	SEA	SEA
2024-03-24	SEA 1 - 5 MTL	MTL	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	14	3	1.30
1	MTL	6	0	0.19
2	SEA	13	0	0.79
2	MTL	6	0	0.54
3	SEA	19	1	1.41
3	MTL	11	1	1.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 67.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 2 - 4 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 3.3 - 3.0