Buffalo Sabres at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2022-12-07 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 4 - 9 Buffalo Sabres

Win Probability

CBJ: 45.5%

BUF: 54.5%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 2.85

BUF: 3.39

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 52%

CBJ

J. Korpisalo

BUF

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen - 7-5-1 | 0.903 SV% | 2.46 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	J. Korpisalo	30	21	9	70.0%	2.04	0	-6.96
BUF	Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen	24	20	4	83.3%	3.16	2	-0.84

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • CBJ at home vs BUF: 4-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	BUF 5 - 0 CBJ	BUF	CBJ
2026-01-03	CBJ 5 - 1 BUF	CBJ	BUF
2025-10-28	BUF 3 - 4 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2025-04-10	CBJ 3 - 2 BUF	CBJ	CBJ
2025-02-04	BUF 3 - 2 CBJ	BUF	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	8	1	0.82
1	BUF	16	0	1.20
2	CBJ	17	1	1.49
2	BUF	14	0	0.57
3	CBJ	13	0	0.85
3	BUF	4	0	0.27

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 13.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 4 - 9 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 2.8 - 3.4