Vancouver Canucks at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2022-12-07 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 5 - 6 Vancouver Canucks (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (64% underdog)

Win Probability

SJS: 64.0%

VAN: 36.0%

Expected Goals

SJS: 3.46

VAN: 3.04

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 50%

SJS

K. Kahkonen

VAN

S. Martin

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	K. Kahkonen	27	21	6	77.8%	3.30	3	-2.70
VAN	S. Martin	39	34	5	87.2%	4.08	2	-0.92

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • SJS at home vs VAN: 2-8

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	SJS 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	SJS
2026-01-27	VAN 2 - 5 SJS	SJS	VAN
2025-12-27	VAN 3 - 6 SJS	SJS	VAN
2025-11-28	SJS 3 - 2 VAN	SJS	VAN
2025-04-14	VAN 2 - 1 SJS	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	13	1	0.99
1	VAN	10	1	1.14
2	SJS	22	1	2.15
2	VAN	16	1	1.20
3	SJS	11	0	0.47
3	VAN	8	1	0.57
4	SJS	5	0	0.47
4	VAN	5	0	0.39

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 64.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 5 - 6 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.5 - 3.0