Detroit Red Wings at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2022-12-08 • FLA Live Arena

Florida Panthers 5 - 1 Detroit Red Wings

Win Probability

FLA: 66.8%

DET: 33.2%

Expected Goals

FLA: 4.01

DET: 2.68

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 48%

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

DET

A. Nedeljkovic

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	20	19	1	95.0%	2.16	1	1.16
DET	A. Nedeljkovic	41	36	5	87.8%	3.52	2	-1.48

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • FLA at home vs DET: 7-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-15	FLA 8 - 1 DET	FLA	FLA
2026-03-10	FLA 4 - 3 DET	FLA	FLA
2026-03-06	DET 1 - 3 FLA	FLA	FLA
2025-10-15	DET 4 - 1 FLA	DET	FLA
2025-04-10	FLA 4 - 1 DET	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	20	1	1.36
1	DET	9	0	0.82
2	FLA	22	1	1.67
2	DET	12	1	0.87
3	FLA	11	0	0.49
3	DET	10	0	0.47

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 66.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 5 - 1 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 4.0 - 2.7