Winnipeg Jets at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions
2022-12-08 • Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues 2 - 5 Winnipeg Jets
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
STL: 48.7%
WPG: 51.3%
Expected Goals
STL: 2.97
WPG: 2.89
Total Goals
Median: 6.7
Over 5.5: 65%
Over 6.5: 52%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
STL
T. Greiss
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA
| Stat | STL | WPG |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL | T. Greiss | 20 | 15 | 5 | 75.0% | 2.96 | 2 | -2.04 |
| WPG | Connor Hellebuyck | 31 | 29 | 2 | 93.5% | 2.32 | 0 | 0.32 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 69% • STL at home vs WPG: 5-7
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-09 | STL 2 - 3 WPG | WPG | STL |
| 2026-03-15 | WPG 3 - 2 STL | WPG | STL |
| 2026-01-20 | WPG 3 - 1 STL | WPG | STL |
| 2025-12-17 | STL 1 - 0 WPG | STL | WPG |
| 2025-05-04 | WPG 4 - 3 STL | WPG | WPG |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | STL | 12 | 0 | 0.62 |
| 1 | WPG | 15 | 0 | 1.00 |
| 2 | STL | 10 | 0 | 0.58 |
| 2 | WPG | 10 | 0 | 0.71 |
| 3 | STL | 13 | 0 | 1.12 |
| 3 | WPG | 6 | 2 | 1.25 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 51.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
St. Louis Blues 2 - 5 Winnipeg Jets
Expected: 3.0 - 2.9
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