New York Islanders at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2022-12-09 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 4 - 6 New York Islanders

🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)

Win Probability

NJD: 61.1%

NYI: 38.9%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.26

NYI: 2.71

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 48%

NJD

V. Vanecek

NYI

Semyon Varlamov - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	V. Vanecek	32	26	6	81.2%	4.07	4	-1.93
NYI	Semyon Varlamov	29	25	4	86.2%	3.59	3	-0.41

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • NJD at home vs NYI: 2-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-05	NJD 1 - 3 NYI	NYI	NJD
2026-01-06	NYI 9 - 0 NJD	NYI	NYI
2025-12-23	NYI 2 - 1 NJD	NYI	NYI
2025-11-10	NJD 2 - 3 NYI	NYI	NJD
2025-04-13	NJD 0 - 1 NYI	NYI	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	15	0	1.03
1	NYI	14	0	0.63
2	NJD	11	0	0.66
2	NYI	24	1	1.78
3	NJD	20	3	1.90
3	NYI	8	3	1.67

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 61.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 4 - 6 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.3 - 2.7