Winnipeg Jets at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2022-12-09 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 1 - 3 Winnipeg Jets

Win Probability

CHI: 47.9%

WPG: 52.1%

Expected Goals

CHI: 2.65

WPG: 3.76

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 47%

CHI

Arvid Soderblom - 4-7-1 | 0.873 SV% | 4.02 GAA

WPG

D. Rittich

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	Arvid Soderblom	32	29	3	90.6%	3.66	2	0.66
WPG	D. Rittich	23	22	1	95.7%	1.60	0	0.60

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 72% • CHI at home vs WPG: 2-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-31	CHI 3 - 4 WPG	WPG	WPG
2026-03-03	WPG 3 - 2 CHI	WPG	WPG
2026-01-19	CHI 2 - 0 WPG	CHI	WPG
2025-10-30	WPG 6 - 3 CHI	WPG	WPG
2025-04-12	CHI 4 - 5 WPG	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	11	0	0.58
1	WPG	20	2	1.28
2	CHI	13	0	0.55
2	WPG	18	0	1.07
3	CHI	10	0	0.48
3	WPG	14	0	1.32

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 1 - 3 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 2.7 - 3.8